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Monday, 4 September, 2000, 14:33 GMT 15:33 UK
Hariri's comeback in Lebanon
![]() Rafik Hariri's ascent to prime ministership may depend on Syria
By Middle-East analyst Roger Hardy
Lebanon's parliamentary elections have dealt a stunning blow to Prime Minister Selim al-Hoss and to the man who backed him, President Emile Lahoud. If the president follows the logic of the polls, he must now appoint as prime minister Mr Hoss's rival, the wealthy businessman Rafik Hariri. Mr Hariri stepped down as prime minister two years ago after friction with President Lahoud.
After so much mud-slinging it will be hard for President Lahoud to appoint Mr Hariri prime minister. Syrian influence But as he well knows, that decision will essentially be taken by Syria, the country which controls Lebanon's destiny and stations more than 30,000 troops there. The Syrians have worked with Mr Hariri before and can undoubtedly do so again. Syria's new president, Bashar al-Assad, may well calculate that he needs to give Lebanese politicians a bit more room for manoeuvre.
Such sentiments are no secret to Syrian policy-makers. But as long as they remain cautious whispers rather than overt dissent, the Syrians will not see them as a threat. In this sense, the elections, lively as they were, have not changed any fundamental realities in Lebanon.
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