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Much has been made recently by the Australian government regarding potential ‘local jihadists’ who left Australia to receive military training and experience fighting for the so-called Islamic State.
Were anyone to ask the Syrian, Iraqi, Iranian, Armenian and Turkish governments, this might be considered a disturbing development in the least. Should Iraqi Kurdistan succeed in declaring its independence from Baghdad, it will only be a... more
Were anyone to ask the Syrian, Iraqi, Iranian, Armenian and Turkish governments, this might be considered a disturbing development in the least. Should Iraqi Kurdistan succeed in declaring its independence from Baghdad, it will only be a matter of time before other Kurdish lands seek to join.
...the uncomfortable truth is that contemporary Syria and Iraq are the step-children of Western strategic policy.
The longer it takes to arrive at a political solution to the Palestinian dilemma, the more likely this rudderless and negative spiral of war and revenge will maintain the conditions for a ceaseless fight.
If point ‘c’ is true, then the conflict in Kiev is no longer a civil war in which only the east Ukrainian separatists receive ‘foreign’ (i.e. Russian) support, but where Kiev is being armed, trained, enabled and directly supported in its... more
If point ‘c’ is true, then the conflict in Kiev is no longer a civil war in which only the east Ukrainian separatists receive ‘foreign’ (i.e. Russian) support, but where Kiev is being armed, trained, enabled and directly supported in its combat operations by ‘foreign’ (i.e. NATO) interests.
The problem for Moscow is that pro-Russian militiamen have been supported by the Kremlin, and perhaps unfairly, this has placed the Russian government squarely in the sights of the international community.
With the sole exception of the UAE, whose ability to navigate the turbulent waters of the Gulf is testimony to farsighted thinkers among the country’s past and current leadership and advisory set, the reckoning that will visit the Arabian... more
With the sole exception of the UAE, whose ability to navigate the turbulent waters of the Gulf is testimony to farsighted thinkers among the country’s past and current leadership and advisory set, the reckoning that will visit the Arabian peninsula could see Riyadh and Tehran locked in their own regional version of ‘Vietnam’...
When asked to present a paper based on the previous publication ‘God, Gold & Power’, I relished the chance because I believe that something is missing from the debate concerning the ‘Africa rising’ narrative... This paper was kindly... more
When asked to present a paper based on the previous publication ‘God, Gold & Power’, I relished the chance because I believe that something is missing from the debate concerning the ‘Africa rising’ narrative...

This paper was kindly presented by Elena Filippova, Director of Research at the Institute of Ethnology and Anthropology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation, on behalf of Dr. John Bruni, Director SAGE International, Adelaide, South Australia, PANEL IV-6 NEOCOLONIALISM IN AFRICA: THE 21ST CENTURY, May 30, 2014
"One of the most challenging and contentious issues in modern day Sino-Japanese relations is that of a group of tiny islands in the East China Sea, called the Diaoyu Islands by China and the Senkaku Islands by Japan, of which both Asian... more
"One of the most challenging and contentious issues in modern day Sino-Japanese relations is that of a group of tiny islands in the East China Sea, called the Diaoyu Islands by China and the Senkaku Islands by Japan, of which both Asian giants tenaciously claim as their inherent sovereign territory.
Among the benefits for Washington in a revived Moscow must be increased defence expenditure, and strategic integration of European powers.
At the time of writing, Russian military forces have been placed on high alert. Political unrest is taking place in the strategically important autonomous Ukrainian province of Crimea, a long time Russo-Ukrainian fault-line. Pro and... more
At the time of writing, Russian military forces have been placed on high alert. Political unrest is taking place in the strategically important autonomous Ukrainian province of Crimea, a long time Russo-Ukrainian fault-line. Pro and anti-Ukrainian ethnic groups, Russians, Tartars and Ukrainians have taken to the streets calling for loyalty to either Moscow or Kiev.
Throughout recent history the Iranian theocracy’s relationship with the West has been one of confrontation, punctuated by a series of half-hearted attempts at ‘normalisation’. Half-hearted in that there appears to have been a number of... more
Throughout recent history the Iranian theocracy’s relationship with the West has been one of confrontation, punctuated by a series of half-hearted attempts at ‘normalisation’. Half-hearted in that there appears to have been a number of calculations made by Iran’s senior leadership, suggesting that moving too close to the West might imperil the survival of the theocratic state.
The Obama administration has, curiously, allowed itself to be played by the Russians over Syria. I use the word ‘curiously’ because I find it odd that the most powerful country on Earth looks hesitant and faltering in the eyes of the... more
The Obama administration has, curiously, allowed itself to be played by the Russians over Syria. I use the word ‘curiously’ because I find it odd that the most powerful country on Earth looks hesitant and faltering in the eyes of the international community.
Human societies have never been so exposed to bewildering technologies which increasingly challenge who we are as a species, a culture, a faith and a community. Since the end of the 19th Century scholars have fought over which element... more
Human societies have never been so exposed to bewildering technologies which increasingly challenge who we are as a species, a culture, a faith and a community.

Since the end of the 19th Century scholars have fought over which element has primacy in international affairs, geography or human agency. The contemporary international arena is an increasingly complex amalgam of both. While it seems as though human agency trumps geography under current conditions, ultimately, it may be that human affairs are still circumscribed by the physical realities of local environments.
Increasingly, convergent centres of power, be they located in the US, the UK, Australia, Russia, China or anywhere else, are becoming a single domain, a domain that promises to be every bit as dangerous and unstable as the oft-quoted... more
Increasingly, convergent centres of power, be they located in the US, the UK, Australia, Russia, China or anywhere else, are becoming a single domain, a domain that promises to be every bit as dangerous and unstable as the oft-quoted republics of Central and South Asia, collectively and disparagingly referred to as ‘the Stans’ (Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan
...much of what we purport to know about North Korea is fiction – a patch-work of guesses based on what has been told by North Korean refugees in China, defectors to South Korea, the occasional visiting Western journalist, some electronic... more
...much of what we purport to know about North Korea is fiction – a patch-work of guesses based on what has been told by North Korean refugees in China, defectors to South Korea, the occasional visiting Western journalist, some electronic and other externally procured intelligence and  a lot of academic speculation.
To this day the African old order does not see modernity as an advantage to nation, province or village. Certain selected technologies however do co-exist within the traditional African framework. The proliferation of mobile phones is an... more
To this day the African old order does not see modernity as an advantage to nation, province or village. Certain selected technologies however do co-exist within the traditional African framework. The proliferation of mobile phones is an example of this. Other technologies such as the Internet, and road and rail networks are seen as threats to local tribal/clan authority.
America’s pivot to Asia is forcing many states in the region to try and strike a balance between their strategic relationship with Washington and their growing economic ties with China. Today, John Bruni looks at Australia’s and New... more
America’s pivot to Asia is forcing many states in the region to try and strike a balance between their strategic relationship with Washington and their growing economic ties with China. Today, John Bruni looks at Australia’s and New Zealand’s attempts to reconcile these two imperatives.
"In a rapidly changing geopolitical and strategic environment in which the current US administration is willing to demonstrate to the world that the pursuit of its national interest will not be encumbered by multilateral forums, what role... more
"In a rapidly changing geopolitical and strategic environment in which the current US administration is willing to demonstrate to the world that the pursuit of its national interest will not be encumbered by multilateral forums, what role will US bilateral alliance partners such as Japan and Australia play in redefining the international order, especially in their area of primary interest–East Asia? This paper examines an Australian proposal for establishing an informal security dialogue at the ministerial level comprising the United States and two of .."
In the rush to analyse contemporary conflicts we continually forget what our fathers and forefathers achieved, and so each age has to re-learn the lessons of the past – often at great pain and sacrifice. Hopefully, as I begin to revisit... more
In the rush to analyse contemporary conflicts we continually forget what our fathers and forefathers achieved, and so each age has to re-learn the lessons of the past – often at great pain and sacrifice. Hopefully, as I begin to revisit some of the historical aspects of the four Afghan wars that preceded the ISAF mission, you will see continuity between the Afghanistan of today and that of the 19th Century. The weapons and social mores may have changed, but the reasons that drove the wars – motivations fuelled by mistrust, misinformation and misinterpretation – still resonate clearly to this day.
The year 1963 is the starting point for this examination. It is in this year Australia began to buy weapons, (i.e. major capital equipments such as tanks, artillery, warships and combat aircraft), that were more than mere replacements of... more
The year 1963 is the starting point for this examination. It is in this year Australia began to buy weapons, (i.e. major capital equipments such as tanks, artillery, warships and combat aircraft), that were more than mere replacements of old weapons for new. Before 1963, Australia's patterns of defence procurements was incremental, almost evolutionary. When a weapon system outlived its useful life, representatives from the affected Australian armed service would scout for replacement systems....However, by 1963, the Australian armed services, particularly the Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF), adopted a more radical stance by replacing older weapons with ones that possessed state-of-the-art characteristics.
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The latest controversy to rock the State of South Australia is the Abbott government’s broadcast to build the replacement for the Collins class submarines in Japan. The reason? Well may you ask.
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Using the political turmoil in Ukraine and perceptions of Western weakness to his advantage, Putin hatched a plan designed to keep hold of Russia’s strategic interests in the Crimea by sending in his soldiers, capturing or surrounding... more
Using the political turmoil in Ukraine and perceptions of Western weakness to his advantage, Putin hatched a plan designed to keep hold of Russia’s strategic interests in the Crimea by sending in his soldiers, capturing or surrounding airfields and other important military infrastructure, without a shot being fired.
Free trade, globalisation, national politics, national community. What is wrong with this picture? Simple, these four terms are not mutually complementary. With no political imagination or ‘chutzpah’, we of the First World now lie... more
Free trade, globalisation, national politics, national community.  What is wrong with this picture?  Simple, these four terms are not mutually complementary.  With no political imagination or ‘chutzpah’, we of the First World now lie prostrate before the ‘Masters of the Universe’ on Wall Street.  To them everything and everyone is a commodity to be traded...
The Syrian civil war (2011-), just as the civil war that wracked Iraq after the toppling of Saddam (2003-11), and the civil war that toppled Col. Gaddafi in Libya (2011), act as magnets for foreign fighters, people drawn into the... more
The Syrian civil war (2011-), just as the civil war that wracked Iraq after the toppling of Saddam (2003-11), and the civil war that toppled Col. Gaddafi in Libya (2011), act as magnets for foreign fighters, people drawn into the conflict, often because of a shared sense of loyalty to the ethnic or sectarian value of one or the other side.
Just as Australia is bedding down the Snowden spying controversy (documents revealing that Australian intelligence agencies tapped the phones of the senior Indonesian leadership, including Indonesian president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and... more
Just as Australia is bedding down the Snowden spying controversy (documents revealing that Australian intelligence agencies tapped the phones of the senior Indonesian leadership, including Indonesian president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and his wife), another scandal is emanating, this time from the ‘halfling-island’ of East Timor. A former mal-administered colony of Portugal, and brutally oppressed former province of Indonesia, East Timor is taking the Australian government to The Hague claiming that in 2004, Canberra spied on negotiators in order to give unfair advantage to Australian oil and gas giant Woodside Petroleum during the bilateral treaty – Certain Maritime Arrangements in the Timor Sea (CMATS).
The announcement by the Obama Administration that a deal had been hammered out with the Iranians over their nuclear program caused mixed reactions.
Today, the influence of Napoleon Bonaparte is hardly considered when contemporary strategists pen their tomes on the way of warfare. Today it is all about drones, robots, all forms of automation and cyberspace. And perhaps it is true to... more
Today, the influence of Napoleon Bonaparte is hardly considered when contemporary strategists pen their tomes on the way of warfare. Today it is all about drones, robots, all forms of automation and cyberspace. And perhaps it is true to say that in our more sophisticated, politically correct world, we are post-heroic, post-modern, post-ideological, post-religious, post-industrial shadows of our former selves. Gone are the 20th Century existential threats to world peace. Gone is NAZI Germany, the Soviet Union and Maoist China.
A number of years ago (2002), my colleague at the University of Adelaide, Professor Purnendra Jain and I wrote a piece for the Asian Times entitled, ‘Shaking Hands with Clenched Fists’. In short it described the issues the Howard... more
A number of years ago (2002), my colleague at the University of Adelaide, Professor Purnendra Jain and I wrote a piece for the Asian Times entitled, ‘Shaking Hands with Clenched Fists’. In short it described the issues the Howard government faced in its bilateral relations with Indonesia following the MV Tampa incident, and the surprising success it had in rebalancing relations based on pragmatism, countering mutual threats such as People Smugglers and Terrorists.
The United States and many of its allies are in the process of dealing with the post-Afghanistan strategic environment. Soon it will be passé to talk of counter-insurgency campaigns, of military-led efforts at nation building and of... more
The United States and many of its allies are in the process of dealing with the post-Afghanistan strategic environment. Soon it will be passé to talk of counter-insurgency campaigns, of military-led efforts at nation building and of humanitarian interventions...
The delivery of a battery of Patriot missiles and F-16 Falcon fighter planes to Jordan by the US (STRATFOR: 03/06/13) as a countermeasure against a potential spill over from the Syrian civil war into Jordanian...
News from Turkey indicates that the Turkish people’s experiment with ‘soft political Islam’ as represented by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP), is becoming an...
The situation in Iraq is worsening as the extremist ISIS rebels are edging ever closer to the capital Baghdad. In a politically motivated attack against the Iraqi government, the radical Sunnit group, who has followers from all over the... more
The situation in Iraq is worsening as the extremist ISIS rebels are edging ever closer to the capital Baghdad. In a politically motivated attack against the Iraqi government, the radical Sunnit group, who has followers from all over the world, targeted the oil refinery in Baiji.
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Dr John Bruni, Director of Sage International
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The world has been shocked by images of Syrians suffocating and dying as chemical weapons are allegedly used by the Bashar al-Assad regime. Christopher Testa asked security expert John Bruni about the use of these weapons and how the... more
The world has been shocked by images of Syrians suffocating and dying as chemical weapons are allegedly used by the Bashar al-Assad regime. Christopher Testa asked security expert John Bruni about the use of these weapons and how the conflict may develop from here.
As war drags on in Syria the major powers continue to wring their hands over how to best handle the situation. Russia is preparing to send ground-to-air missiles to the Assad regime, leaving Israel and it's allies in the West to decide... more
As war drags on in Syria the major powers continue to wring their hands over how to best handle the situation. Russia is preparing to send ground-to-air missiles to the Assad regime, leaving Israel and it's allies in the West to decide how far they can let the situation deteriorate.
On 20 January 2009, Barack Obama rode into office on the back of international expectation that he would make a less contentious head­of­state than his predecessor, that his brand of ‘yes we can’ politics would mobilise the American... more
On 20 January 2009, Barack Obama rode into office on the back of international expectation that he would make a less contentious head­of­state than his predecessor, that his brand of ‘yes we can’ politics would mobilise the American people from either side of the ideological divide and with this, set a new, pragmatic agenda for rebalancing American foreign and strategic policies.

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